Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $104,691$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(1.31 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(22.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{101,709.4}{1 + 10^{-0.044 (t - 39.2)}}\) (asimptote \(101,709.4\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $6,541$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(799 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(22.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,413.7}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 39.9)}}\) (asimptote \(6,413.7\))
Start date 2020-02-27 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $14,313$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $135,569$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(1.53 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{135,321.6}{1 + 10^{-0.062 (t - 28.8)}}\) (asimptote \(135,321.6\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $3,689$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(368 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,879.3}{1 + 10^{-0.058 (t - 29.4)}}\) (asimptote \(3,879.3\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $45,484$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $16,436$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(1.82 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(19.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{16,182.6}{1 + 10^{-0.063 (t - 36.7)}}\) (asimptote \(16,182.6\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $245$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(35.3 \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(16.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{241.2}{1 + 10^{-0.067 (t - 24.7)}}\) (asimptote \(241.2\))
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $4,962$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $16,793$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(184 \times 10^{0.026t}\) (doubling rate \(11.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{20,274.0}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 64.3)}}\) (asimptote \(20,274.0\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $174$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(3.64 \times 10^{0.034t}\) (doubling rate \(8.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{367.7}{1 + 10^{-0.045 (t - 51.0)}}\) (asimptote \(367.7\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $12,782$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-03-09 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $891$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(152 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{871.0}{1 + 10^{-0.065 (t - 28.1)}}\) (asimptote \(871.0\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $15$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(5.88 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{14.9}{1 + 10^{-0.052 (t - 12.0)}}\) (asimptote \(14.9\))
Start date 2020-03-09 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $476$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,208$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(33.2 \times 10^{0.032t}\) (doubling rate \(9.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{48,367.4}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 96.6)}}\) (asimptote \(48,367.4\))
Start date 2020-04-04 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $47$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(2.07 \times 10^{0.040t}\) (doubling rate \(7.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{58.2}{1 + 10^{-0.075 (t - 27.2)}}\) (asimptote \(58.2\))
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $4,695$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $35,432$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(525 \times 10^{0.032t}\) (doubling rate \(9.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{54,463.1}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 52.9)}}\) (asimptote \(54,463.1\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $229$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(25.7 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(13.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{288.9}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 30.5)}}\) (asimptote \(288.9\))
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $26,083$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $10,463$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(1.14 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10,829.0}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 33.5)}}\) (asimptote \(10,829.0\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $696$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(65.9 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{714.4}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 33.7)}}\) (asimptote \(714.4\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $8,033$ on 2020-05-08